UC San Diego vs Long Beach State Prediction

ScheduledFri, Nov 20, 2026ESPN+

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UC San Diego (11-14) at Long Beach St. (20-4), Fri, Nov 20, 2026, 9:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Long Beach St. an 86% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Long Beach St. won 3-1 on Sep 26.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

UCSD 13.6%86.4% LBSU

UC San Diego wins

3-0

2.0%

3-1

4.3%

3-2

7.3%

Long Beach St. wins

3-0

38.9%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.0%

UCSD break %: 38.1% vs this opp
LBSU break %: 46.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.