ScheduledMon, Nov 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

San Diego at Santa Clara

San Diego (13-8) at Santa Clara (9-14), Mon, Nov 23, 2026, 9:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives San Diego an 82% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, San Diego won 3-1 on Oct 31.

Data through

Match prediction

USD 81.7%18.3% STCLAR

San Diego wins

3-0
33.3%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
17.8%

Santa Clara wins

3-0
2.9%
3-1
6.0%
3-2
9.4%
USD break %
45.9% vs this opp
STCLAR break %
39.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.

San Diego vs Santa Clara

WCC match preview

Where to watchWatch on ESPN+

Head to head this season