UC Santa Barbara vs California Baptist Prediction

ScheduledFri, Nov 20, 2026ESPN+

–:–

UC Santa Barbara (13-12) at California Baptist (6-19), Fri, Nov 20, 2026, 8:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives UC Santa Barbara an 85% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, UC Santa Barbara won 3-2 on Oct 17.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT

Match prediction

UCSB 84.9%15.1% CALBAP

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0

37.0%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.6%

California Baptist wins

3-0

2.2%

3-1

4.8%

3-2

8.0%

UCSB break %: 46.8% vs this opp
CALBAP break %: 38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.