ScheduledThu, Nov 19, 2026Watch on ESPN+
Santa Clara at Saint Mary's (CA)
Santa Clara (11-14) at Saint Mary's (CA) (14-11), Thu, Nov 19, 2026, 8:30 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Santa Clara a 53% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Saint Mary's (CA) won 3-2 on Oct 17.
Data through
Match prediction
STCLAR 53.3%46.7% STMARY
Santa Clara wins
3-0
13.9%
3-1
20.1%
3-2
19.2%
Saint Mary's (CA) wins
3-0
11.2%
3-1
17.4%
3-2
18.2%
- STCLAR break %
- 41.6% vs this opp
- STMARY break %
- 41.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.
Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.
Santa Clara vs Saint Mary's (CA)
WCC match preview
Where to watchWatch on ESPN+
