ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Merrimack at Marist

Merrimack (4-25) at Marist (17-12), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Marist a 96% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Merrimack won 3-2 on Oct 9.

Data through

Match prediction

MERMCK 4.1%95.9% MARIST

Merrimack wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.5%

Marist wins

3-0
58.2%
3-1
28.8%
3-2
8.9%
MERMCK break %
38.6% vs this opp
MARIST break %
52.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.

Merrimack vs Marist

MAAC match preview

Where to watchWatch on ESPN+

Head to head this season