ScheduledSat, Nov 14, 2026Watch on ESPN+
Merrimack at Marist
Merrimack (4-25) at Marist (17-12), Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 PM CT on ESPN+. RallyIQ gives Marist a 96% chance to win. In their only meeting this season, Merrimack won 3-2 on Oct 9.
Data through
Match prediction
MERMCK 4.1%95.9% MARIST
Merrimack wins
3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.5%
Marist wins
3-0
58.2%
3-1
28.8%
3-2
8.9%
- MERMCK break %
- 38.6% vs this opp
- MARIST break %
- 52.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season so far.
Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.
Merrimack vs Marist
MAAC match preview
Where to watchWatch on ESPN+